All 3 Uses of "conjecture" in "The Idiot"

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All 3 Uses

conjecture
in
The Idiot
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I have just seen with my own eyes the proof that my conjecture was correct!" he added, with increasing eagerness.†
Chpt 2.8
If he had not been driven beyond the limits of endurance, he would not have ventured to express certain conjectures so openly.†
Chpt 2.8 *

conjectures = guesses (opinions based on inconclusive evidence)
No doubt you, Mr. Burdovsky, heard this conjecture, and did not hesitate to accept it as true.†
Chpt 2.9

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Definitions:

(1) (conjecture)
a conclusion or opinion based on inconclusive evidence; or the act of forming of such a conclusion or opinion

A conjecture can be widely believed, but the word is also frequently used to imply that evidence is insufficient to support a belief.
(2) (meaning too rare to warrant focus)